Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 53.953966 61.756442 69.779797 78.611716 88.026992 97.732717 108.463147
2026-01-11 41.689006 52.712803 64.624799 78.305484 93.446621 109.569495 127.918228
2026-01-18 34.188170 46.829649 61.023659 77.834022 96.922923 117.685098 141.746711
2026-01-25 29.004028 42.791607 58.815112 78.295921 100.886348 125.871716 155.234041
2026-02-01 24.309757 38.717256 56.046922 77.646986 103.181046 131.845762 165.942424
2026-02-08 20.717623 35.572208 54.034212 77.572417 105.871421 138.047574 176.711870
2026-02-15 17.332161 32.298575 51.552799 76.667197 107.362703 142.690110 185.546531
2026-02-22 15.258216 30.553523 50.817260 77.744366 111.087705 149.825781 197.162237
2026-03-01 13.589145 29.185111 50.429169 79.141223 115.109796 157.243426 209.052794
2026-03-08 11.314739 26.656535 48.309829 78.189801 116.144714 161.037626 216.642877
2026-03-15 9.133755 23.978802 45.783519 76.549836 116.199089 163.561526 222.656467
2026-03-22 8.612216 23.930195 46.889177 79.638300 122.134999 173.135404 236.986885
2026-03-29 7.698088 23.126713 46.885789 81.258544 126.257297 180.579018 248.880585
2026-04-05 6.350118 21.363800 45.373506 80.773804 127.657597 184.687707 256.789716
2026-04-12 5.190797 19.748226 43.956497 80.325390 129.033467 188.713319 264.556383
2026-04-19 4.370056 18.652404 43.245768 80.789700 131.543027 194.100879 273.937502
2026-04-26 3.450727 17.148234 41.787665 80.130456 132.533515 197.571608 280.975595
2026-05-03 2.758956 15.985985 40.786121 80.054397 134.243399 201.903492 289.032997
2026-05-10 2.052946 14.565281 39.249637 79.133319 134.780629 204.732401 295.233028
2026-05-17 1.704770 14.005523 39.119505 80.229382 137.987090 210.898099 305.499168
2026-05-24 1.436480 13.600065 39.223279 81.650574 141.619183 217.595784 316.417464
2026-05-31 0.980123 12.359828 37.761346 80.682598 141.985716 220.136831 322.214106
2026-06-07 0.575651 10.964738 35.890283 79.013887 141.339769 221.348662 326.339665